| | PROBLEMS OF MODERN ECONOMICS, N 2 (30), 2009 | | YOUNG SPECIALISTS | | Volkov V. V. PhD student, Chair of Economic Cybernetics, St. Petersburg State University
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| The article describes the method of randomized probabilities for evaluation of alternative states of the financial-economic milieu, as well as modifications of this method. This method is based on T. Bayes’ model of randomization in the context of indeterminacy. The author gives examples of forecasting of the volumes of product realization on the basis of incomplete and non-numeric information, received from several experts. Results of discreet and continuous models are compared | Key words: randomized probability, non-numeric information, multi-criteria analysis, randomization in the context of indeterminacy, financial-economic milieu | |
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