| | PROBLEMS OF MODERN ECONOMICS, N 3 (43), 2012 | | ECONOMIC PROBLEMS OF REGIONS AND BRANCH COMPLEXES | | Kormanovskaya I. R. Director, Novgorod branch of St.Petersburg State University of Services and Economics PhD (Economics) Bernasovskaya L. I. Chair of Economics and Enterprise Management, Novgorod branch of St. Petersburg State University of Services and Economics PhD (Economics) Ptitsyna E. V. PhD student, St. Petersburg State University of Services and Economics
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| The article discusses results of the research dedicated to the socio-demographic dynamics in Novgorod region, presenting a forecast till 2030 according to three scenarios: streaming, innovative, and pessimistic. The authors predict that by 2030 the population size will not yet reach the level of 2010, and emphasize the change of aims and major indices of the demographic politics | Key words: demographic politics, depopulation, reproduction, level of life, quality of life, forecasting, region, demographic problems, innovation development | Pages: 224 - 228 |
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