| | PROBLEMS OF MODERN ECONOMICS, N 2 (50), 2014 | | ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT IN THE SPHERE OF SERVICES | | Aleksandrov Yu. L. Chair of Economics and Planning, Siberian Federal University (Krasnoyarsk), PhD (Economics), Professor Demchenko O. S. Senior lecturer, Chair of Theoretical Foundations of Economics, Siberian Federal University (Krasnoyarsk), PhD (Economics)
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| Dynamics of the global financial and economic crisis that started in 2008 demonstrated the need to develop methods of large-scale forecasting economic forecasting with regards to the specific features of the Russia economy. The article shows how indices of retail trade may be used as advance indicators of the economic situation; the conclusions are drawn with the use of mathematical statistics and by way of comparison with the results received through the application of less formalized procedures | Key words: economic cycles, crisis, forecasting the macroeconomic dynamics, retail trade, advance indices | Pages: 334 - 337 |
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