|PROBLEMS OF MODERN ECONOMICS, N 3 (59), 2016|
|ECONOMICS, MANAGEMENT, AND ACCOUNTING AT THE ENTERPRICE|
|Gres’ko A. A.|
Assistant Professor, Chair of Mathematics and Modelling, Vladivostok State University of Economy and Services, PhD (Economics)
Chen A. Ya.
Assistant Professor, Chari of Information Technologies and Systems, Vladivostok State University of Economy and Services; PhD (Economics)
Mel’nikov B. K.
BA student, majoring in “Macroeconomic planning and forecast,” Vladivostok State University of Economy and Services
|The article describes the selection of strategy for the development of organization in the context of indeterminacy as applied to a shipping company. Within the frames of the model presented, the authors use the Ishikawa diagram that allows to distinguish the key relations among various factors and to better understand the process under discussion. The article evaluates the degree of mutual impact of developed scenarios and strategies. The major distinction of the model described, as well as the methods it uses, is that the evaluation of probabilities of scenario realization and the evaluation of their impact upon the strategy of organizations is conducted with the use of fuzzy-set tools. This algorithm of scenario-and-strategy analysis is universal, and can be used for various types of enterprises|
|Key words: Ishikawa diagram, fuzzy sets, degree of mutual impact, strategy of an organization, scenarios of development|
| Pages: 97 - 100|