Logo PROBLEMS
OF MODERN
ECONOMICS
Start Page
News
Information About the Journal
About the Editor-in-chief
Advertising
Contacts
EURASIAN INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC-ANALYTICAL EDITION Russian
Thematic profile of the Journal
The latest
Issue
Announcement
Issues List
Find
Editorial Council
Editorial Board
Magazine Representatives
Article Submission Guidelines
PROBLEMS OF MODERN ECONOMICS, N 4 (32), 2009
ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ГЛОБАЛИЗАЦИЯ
Tereshchenko K. P.
PhD student, State University High School of Economics (Moscow)

Experience of forecasting the competitive ability of international and regional markets of hydrocarbon energy resources (Russia, Moscow)
The article analyzes the major factors and tendencies in formation of the balance of supply and demand on oil and gas markets, gives results of the forecast model of balance on the international market for hydrocarbons and oil prices. The author offers price forecast for hydrocarbons for the European Union and some CIS countries, and analyzes the dependency of prices for other hydrocarbon resources upon international oil prices
Key words: CIS, EU, international market of hydrocarbons, balance of supply and demand, forecast models, international prices



Литература
1. Annual Energy Outlook 2006. US DOE/EIA, 2006. http://www.eia.doe.gov
2. International Energy Outlook 2005–2009. US DOE/EIA, 2005. http://www.eia.doe.gov
3. Pindyck R. The long-run evolution of energy prices. MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research. Working paper, January 1999. http://www.mit.edu
4. World Oil Market and Oil Price Chronologies: 1970–2004. US DOE/EIA, 2005. http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.html
5. Eswaran M, Lewis T. (1985). Exhaustible resources and alternative equilibrium concepts // The Canadian Journal of Economics. Vol. 18. No. 3.
6. Energy Statistics of OECD Countries: 2001–2002. 2004 Edition. OECD/IEA. 2004.
7. Energy Policies of IEA Countries: Canada. 2004 Review. OECD/IEA. 2004.
8. BP, World Energy Outlook, 2000–2008.
9. International Energy Agency Report, 2002–2007.
10. Khartukov Е.М. World oil market: the structure’s evolution and price revolution // The world economics and foreign affairs. 1998. № 1. S.109–122.
11. Konoplyannic А. World market. The structure’s of the oil market evolution // Oil of Russia. — 2000. — № 4, 7, 8.
12. Energy Information Administration, 2000–2008.
13. Anthony H. Cordesman, Khalid R. Al-Rodhan. The Global Oil Market: Risks And Uncertainties. Center for Strategic & Intl Studies, 2006.
14. Leonardo Maugeri. The Age of Oil: The Mythology, History, and Future of the World’s Most Controversial Resource. Praeger Publishers, 2006.
15. Hotelling H. (1931). The economics of exhaustible resources // The Journal of Political Economy. Vol. 39. No. 2.
16. Hubbard R.G. (1986). Supply shocks and price adjustment in the world oil market // The Quarterly Journal of Economics. Vol. 101. No. 1.
17. Симмонс Мэтью Р. Закат арабской нефти. Будущее мировой экономики. — М.: Поколение, 2007.
18. Петров В.В., Артюшкин В.Ф. Поведение цен на мировом рынке нефти. Стратегические тренды, макросценарии. — М.: ФАЗИС, 2004.

Article in russian

Back to the issue content

Copyright © Problems of Modern Economics 2002 - 2022